• givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    It’s like a mini MAAD…

    To Putin, any significant threat to his power in Russia is destruction. Ukraine is making inroads as I type this, if they get too far into Russia, it could dominoe into Putin losing power.

    If it ever actually looks close to that, he ain’t going to be attacking Internet cables, he’ll be launching nukes.

    But once a nuke launches, it’s over for all of us. So he needs an intermediate step that he could do and would fuck a bunch of shit up by doing, but it’s not a nuclear bomb.

    • troed@fedia.io
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      3 months ago

      once a nuke launches, it’s over for all of us

      No, it really isn’t. Nuclear winter and the idea of thousands of Tsar Bombas belongs to the 70s. Even in an all out nuclear war today using the full (working? - doubtful regarding Russia) arsenals it would be a catastrophe with hundreds of thousands of dead but mostly we’d be continuing on as before afterwards.

      I grew up during “duck and cover” and iodine in the cupboard. That’s not where we are anylonger.

      • vaultdweller013@sh.itjust.works
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        3 months ago

        Also rockets are a pain to maintain, theres a reason the US military is trying to move away from the minutemen over towards gravity controlled nukes. Does anyone think Russia can properly maintain theirs.

          • vaultdweller013@sh.itjust.works
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            3 months ago

            Its the fact that my name is vault dweller and not thw fact that my picture is of the Mer remover Pelinal Whitestake.

            Anyways my name is a reference to Fallout one which is a lot more depressing about the whole apocalypse thing, tonally its probably closer to a boy and his dog. I dont fear the bomb but I aint welcoming it either.

      • Lets_Eat_Grandma@lemm.ee
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        3 months ago

        So you’re saying if the Russians struck Manhattan it would be relatively little impact. You think of the ten thousand nukes the US and Russia have on average will kill less than a hundred people. Or if just Russia, less than two hundred people per.

        I think each nuke is tens of thousands of immediate deaths followed by hundreds of thousands of mid to long term radiation fatalities. If we pretend that 25% of their 5000 or so nukes works, that’s still 1250 nukes. If each nuke of that 1250 works and kills 100,000 each, that’s 125 million people. I don’t think this is so far fetched given that a little over 80% of Americans live in urban areas.

        I just don’t know how a society can recover if the majority of it’s urban centers gets nuked and there is residual radiation there for the foreseeable future. Japan recovered because the nukes were small and there was only two sites, and that still caused about 110,000 casualties.

        How many submarines do you think they have in the Atlantic and Pacific with nuclear strike capabilities? How many nukes do you think are in range of major north american cities?

      • JesusSon@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        If life taught me anything it is that all you need to do is hide under your desk, duck, and cover. You can survive anything from a tornado to nuclear holocaust with that one.

      • WHYAREWEALLCAPS@fedia.io
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        3 months ago

        You have no idea how interconnected the world is, do you? How reliant the US is on its ports. Not just any place on a coastline is big enough to pull a cargo ship up to, as well as having the infrastructure to unload it and coordinate all that. All they have to do is hose every port capable of handling cargo ships and we are entirely fucked. The cherry on top would be nuking the oil refineries, completely wiping out our ability to move goods even if the ports were open. We will not have enough food to feed the country within a few days. Mass starvation starts a week or so afterwards. Two to three weeks later and at least a quarter or more of Americans will be dead from starvation. Then comes the massive waves of diseases due to all the unburied dead. Inside of two months at least half of America will be dead or dying. More likely to be closer to three-quarters.

        All out nuclear is not something we survive.

        • 14th_cylon@lemm.ee
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          3 months ago

          Then comes the massive waves of diseases due to all the unburied dead.

          I think the literal flood of shits due to failed sewer system will hit us first in big cities.

      • 14th_cylon@lemm.ee
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        3 months ago

        but mostly we’d be continuing on as before afterwards.

        Congratulations, this is officially the most stupid thing I have read on the internet, ever.

        • troed@fedia.io
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          3 months ago

          Have you? Or have you fallen for russian influence operations?

          The ~1500 or so nuclear weapons Russia and the USA have in active service each are mostly much smaller tactical nukes compared to the insane my-dick-is-bigger-than-yours stuff that happened in the 60s.

    • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      Putin won’t do that. It’s been made very clear to him he has 2 choices in that scenario, leave power peacefully for the old dictators home, or attempt to launch his nukes and immediately get yeeted by the USAF. Possibly the USN if he’s vacationing near a coastal area. It’s been made known to him that he does not have the operational security to keep the CIA from tracking him at all times and that his location would be target number 1 in such a situation.