Yeah, terrible news however on the bright side a bunch of companies and rich old people are making money. All at the expense of our future. /s
We haven’t even made it to 1 million years, yet it doesn’t matter what you think or how you reassure yourself you’ll be fine, nature will wipe us and adapt. There’s a reason act of nature are attributed to gods
This current isn’t critical to the survival of the human species.
Pretty critical to a decent percentage of it though.
And I don’t know about you but generally I’d like to thrive rather than just survive.
The person I’m responding to said “nature will wipe us and adapt.” That implies that they’re expecting extinction as a result of this.
Yes, it’ll be harmful to a decent percentage of humanity if the current fails. That’s not even remotely on the same scale of concern as human extinction.
Then you don’t understand what happens when a significant-fraction of the planet’s population loses the ability to grow food in their farms,
& militarily wages war on all who are “in their way” to live where food WILL grow.
AMOC shutting-down FORCES WW3, if it hadn’t already-begun before then.
Even if Europe stays put & just accepts being destroyed, CCP’s long-game will opportunistically wage war against the remnants of the West, for sake of breaking the world to their rule, replacing the US’s rule.
“The destruction of the West is the midwife of Chinese dominion.”
Throw Putin & other powerful imperialists into the mix, & the Accelerationist-nihilist-oligarchs, & removing food-security from Europe ( by eradicating the atlantic’s warming of it in winters ) & the militarized-rabies that is produced does have extinction-level consequences.
there’s another forcing-process underlying all this, too:
population-saturation-rage.
It’s been seen in rats & humans.
In rats, if you have a closed-ecology ( just as we have, with our finite-planet ), & the rats have enough food to keep increasing their population-density,
they will…
…until they’re TOO crowded, when suddenly they become crazy, & cannibalistic, until the population’s butchered-down enough, & then they go back to sane ( there’s a hysteresis-loop in the process ).
The same happens with humans: pressurize the human-population enough, & there’s a “snap” from sanity to nihilism.
During the end of WW2, it happened in the European front, & the German word for the mind-mode produced is “lustmord”, or deathlust.
That mis-identifies it, though: it’s MURDER-greed.
I think that some of the Russians fighting in Ukraine are demonstrating it, perfectly.
It looks like the mass-shooting-epidemic in the US is demonstrating it perfectly, too.
So, what happens when entire regions get flipped into that mode, not just scattered individuals?
Mass-extinction.
“War becomes the drug.”, as some realized, in Yugoslavia, years ago…
The feedback-loops amplify everything, until sanity no-longer is any sort of option, & the result of THAT population’s enforcing its “answer” looks completely different from what we’re used-to living among.
Sorry to be blunt, but the less we know objectivity, the greater the % of the population who’ll be destroyed by our ignoring/denying ( including mine: this is global viability, not ideological )
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And you think this will happen simultaneously, to everyone on the planet everywhere at the same time? Including all the remote uncontacted tribes, isolated island nations, the herders and farmers in various hinterlands, and so forth? And once everyone gets “deathlusted” they’ll all just act like crazed zombies, murdering and murdering until there’s just two left and then they strangle each other in the wreckage?
You’re demonstrating another example of interpreting “the end of my personally familiar comfortable lifestyle” as “the end of the whole entire world, full stop, it’s all over and gone.”
I’m sure there were people during the Bronze Age Collapse who thought it was the end of the world. And for their definition of “the world”, I guess it was. But humanity is so much larger than your little personally-familiar corner of the world.
Sorry to be blunt, but the less we know objectivity, the greater the % of the population who’ll be destroyed by our ignoring/denying ( including mine: this is global viability, not ideological )
Bear in mind: extinction requires that the % needs to be exactly 100%. Exactly. 99% won’t do it.
As a result of this alone? Maybe not. As climate change as a whole? Likely.
Considering the amount of misinformation, sanewashing, and outright bullshit that comes with any climate change discussion I’m past the point of caring about linguistic pedantry.
Their point is valid, your point is pedantic.
This thread is about AMOC, not about climate change as a whole.
This is a science subreddit. I would hope that not every thread that’s remotely related to climate change would immediately devolve into a generic “oh no climate change is going to doom us all” mess, and would instead talk about the actual subject at hand.
This is not a subreddit
Alright, it’s a science community. Does that typo change anything?
“the tipping point that makes an Amoc shutdown inevitable is likely to be passed within a few decades, but that the collapse itself may not happen until 50 to 100 years later”
Long enough that everyone who got us into the mess will be dead and won’t have to suffer the consequences or admit they were wrong. 😑
The presumption in their work is that ClimatePunctuation isn’t accelerating.
That presumption is pervasive, among climate research.
It’s wrong.
The actual speed of ClimatePunctuation is bell-curved, more or less:
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speed-of-change from the pre-existing Equilibrium is small, at the beginning…
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speed-of-change increases, to a maximum…
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speed-of-change decreases from the maximum down to the new Equilibrium.
Obviously, the evidence which keeps falsifying the optimism of the climate-research-field’s models is evidence of accelerating process ( the deep East Antarctic ice-sheet being warmed 2x as quickly as models predicted, e.g. recently-published )
That such evidence KEEPS getting in our face, & we KEEP ignoring that we’re getting the whole-speed-curve wrong, is evidence that paradigm-bound-thinking is overriding our ability-to-survive.
ClimatePunctuation’s still accelerating.
IF the people who reject that are predicting 50-100y before it becomes inevitable that it shuts down, THEN ClimatePunctuation’s accelerating is GUARANTEED to produce the result sooner, because they’re predicting based on the wrong curve.
It doesn’t matter, though: accountability/integrity isn’t something that’ll ever affect institutions, it’s powerless against them, right?
Our kind protects what’s most-important, & … nonaccountability is the 1st thing we protect, before our very lives.
All the last few thousand years of history backs that fact.
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Even if it happened in 5 years, those people would never admit they were wrong.
