In Nate Silver’s electoral forecast, Trump is now leading Harris by 6.5% to win the electoral college.
This final stretch is eerily similar to Clinton/Trump.
I would appreciate people not knee-jerk downvoting this post just because they don’t like what it implies. It’s worth being aware that Trump has been steadily gaining for a month, Harris has been losing ground, and this model now has her likely to lose. Ignoring these facts makes it difficult to do anything about them.
I was fucking pissed as hell (and remain pissed) that the democrats didn’t have a real primary. I think Harris was an extremely weak pick and wouldn’t have survived it. Trump cannot be allowed to be president so Democrats should have found their best candidate.
And I disagree, somewhat, about gender… I’d hope it’d be irrelevant but it sadly isn’t - but Clinton was a deeply flawed candidate and Harris isn’t a great candidate either. Gender is playing a role, but a good candidate (like Warren) could definitely overcome it.