Article doesn’t rule out lag effects. As in “is the performance change a result of the previous administration taking a few years to take effect?”.
I’d love to see stretch terms of one platform or the other and how they did 2nd term vs 1st for example. Does the article’s pattern hold for those situations?
Edit: for example Obama’s 2 terms (2009-2017)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._economic_performance_by_presidential_party
It’s pretty obvious that it’s not just lag causing it it you look at the graphs. Look at Regan into Bush for example.
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