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https://lemmy.ml/post/22122469
Made a simple post with the initiative’s page
If we’re going on history, then they would not be safe seats either. The margins they won by in their last election were quite close
Rick scott was re-elected in 2018 by a margin of just 0.12% (just ~10,000 votes of ~8 million)
In Cruz’s last election, he narrowly won by just ~2.6% in 2018. He’s unpopular among even many republicans. The state has gotten more blue since then. Texas is an ~R+5 ish state. It’s not as solidly red as people think it is
Neither Texas nor Florida is at all safe R if you’re going by public polling or even earlier leak GOP campaign internals about Texas which put it at 48% Cruz to 47% Allred. It’s more so tilt-R or lean-R by polling averages
Hmm actually looking at the calendar of events left for measure J, it seems like the volunteering opportunities (for Measure J specifically) are more limited now at this point. Would have made a post earlier if there was still more open
Still a lot of other volunteering for dems open though I should note
One thing that I’ve found with anxiety that can help is volunteering and other things that help dem turnout. It moves the needle a little and if nothing else it makes you feel productive and some more degree of agency besides just voting yourself
Can find some phone banks, canvasing, and text banks near you
Also another small thing that can also help is reminding and encourage any dem leaning friends, family, etc. to go out and vote. Helps more than you’d think
Vote, volunteer, get involved
Make sure to encourage and remind any dem-leaning friends, family, etc. to get out and vote!
Also consider volunteering to get people to vote yes on Measure J in Sonoma County California. It would phase out any factory farms in the area and be a major first
Nevada, Wisconsin, and Michigan* have same day registration through election day
North Carolina has it only during early voting (ends Nov 2nd)
The rest of the battle ground states do not (i.e Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia)
Across the US, 23 states + DC have same day voter registration
* not at the polls in Michigan but at the clerk’s office and then you can vote there after doing same day registration
Note that Girdusky is listed as one of the board of advisors of American Moment which is a group that’s listed by the Heritage Foundation as a Project 2025 partner
Vote, get active, get involved
Talk to your dem-leaning friends, family, neighbors, etc. and encourage them to turnout
They includes 3rd parties in 2016, but did not in 2020 and 2024, hence the different margins. And the 3rd party they included was of the Republican spoiler type rather than the Democratic spoiler type
They had way higher third party votes in their poll than actually occured - and the third party votes in 2016 were higher than usual (helping trump narrowly win in 2016)
Make sure to remind and encourage any dem-leaning friends and family you know to vote too! Volunteering is also great to help bring those numbers up
Little bit less than that because another chunk say they have no opinion
38% of Republicans and 25% of independents who do not think it’s “shameful.”
Let’s make sure they’re voted out. Vote, get active, volunteer
Puerto Ricans also move. Plenty in swing states + places with competitive down-ballot races. Republicans are already trying to back track on this, they think it hurts them
Peurto Ricans by state
EDIT: also worth mentioning that he also said other racists remarks too
“These Latinos, they love making babies, too. Just know that they do,” Hinchcliffe said, setting up his joke: “There’s no pulling out. They don’t do that. They come inside, just like they did to our country.”
Hinchcliffe also told a joke about one of his Black “buddies” and how they “carved watermelons” together.
It’s not for the attendees. There are plenty of people who do not read news regularly and have not heard about it. This is the kind of action that spreads on social media and reaches some of those people
They also said more than that and doubled down on the racism
“These Latinos, they love making babies, too. Just know that they do,” Hinchcliffe said, setting up his joke: “There’s no pulling out. They don’t do that. They c-- inside, just like they did to our country.”
Hinchcliffe also told a joke about one of his Black “buddies” and how they “carved watermelons” together.
I respect the joke, but I simultaneously also respect whoever downvoted the comment nearly instantly :)
It is really funny how they’re both named Tim and look a lot like each other