I think it was right around 35% as you say. Unlikely, but not impossible for Trump to win. If Trump hit a one out of three lucky shot, that should be somewhat surprising, but not too very surprising.
Anyhow, he’s saying this one is an even coin flip.
Nate Silver left 538, but he is still hosting the Monte Carlo model at the Silver Bulletin. That model is putting it right around 50-50 for Trump win vs Harris win. That’s not a polling average… That’s the result of playing a few million elections where the results are based on the current polling average.
Coupled with secret ballots, that implies that all mail ballots must remain in the sealed individual envelopes they came in until the polls close.
Like any other convention, it’s not really a big deal either way. Fortran gets along just fine with 1-indexing.
To be fair, I think it’s more typical for these kinds of partisan poll observers to operate on a volunteer basis.
Here’s a nice YouTube that describes one experience representing the interests of Count Binface in the recent UK election.
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Would a fork be technically viable if Americans and American businesses can’t participate (because the fork works with SDN entities)? Maybe.
The reality is that the Linux Foundation is in the United States, and Linus is a naturalized US citizen who lives in Oregon (at least on Wikipedia). So they both will have to pay attention to avoid transacting business with individuals and companies on the SDN list. That is the law in the United States.
Blitzkrieg was like the American football play of the same name. If you don’t win real fast, you tend to find out that your motorized units are beyond reach of your supply lines. Then they get cut off, and the whole thing can collapse rapidly.
The Ardennes offensive was pulled off in 72 hours by using the powers of methamphetamine. Seriously, the German army issued a lot of meth to the troops. Imagine what would happen to the combat effectiveness if they had to keep fighting at that pace for a while.
This was a serious mistake, yes. And Barbarossa was another serious mistake.
But I think that Germany was still destined to lose the war anyway, because they were running out of oil and getting out manufactured. And the United States was going to find a way to enter the European theater one way or another.
Some generals tried this. Other generals just kind of tried to survive and fight for their country. Still other generals were ideologically Nazis and they fought for the cause.
Like anything in the real world, it’s a mixed bag.
Germany mainly lost by losing the economics and resources games. A secondary factor was when Hitler started taking over strategic and tactical planning from the generals.
My take on the generals themselves is that they were at least not terrible.
Democratic voters in Texas expect to find dirty tricks and voter suppression when they come out to vote. So they want to complete the process earlier, to leave them some backup and contingency options.
This doesn’t necessarily mean that Texas is about to flip on this cycle.
Really I worked a project once that just had post-its stuck to the wall. It worked as well as Jira does.
You forgot the “… Or I’ll break your kneecaps.”
“Executive Time”, also known as watching Fox News while eating fast food and lobbing tweet bombs.
And we all know Lemmy likes wizards.
It’s totally a thing in California. You’re supposed to transport your firearms in the unloaded state, unless you have a concealed carry license.
I think nowadays you can upgrade that “sometimes” to “usually.” It works out to about a 2.5% handicap to the Republicans.
Due to technical reasons, it is possible to have many, many more cable or satellite channels than over the air broadcast channels.
The FCC is allowed to put “reasonable” restrictions on the content if the over the air channels because of that scarcity.
The default position in the US is that both cable and broadcast have a 1st amendment right to say whatever they want. The FCC is only allowed to infringe on that right for the broadcasters, because they are consuming a scarce public resource.