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Cake day: July 6th, 2023

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  • So, what I’m getting from this is that Trump’s campaign doesn’t have anyone that knows a goddamn thing about SEO. And that apparently it’s election interference for Google to prioritize real news sources over right wing propaganda outlets.

    But this is also another good reminder that Trump views government authority as something that he should be able to wield without restraint. If he gets back into office he’ll use the justice department, the IRS, and any other federal agency he’s aware of as weapons to punish those who displease him. Doesn’t matter what the law says about any of this, his bullying will cost people one way or another, and all while he can’t be touched because as president he will be above the law.






  • “Lol. These Haitians are wild. Eating pets, vudu, nastiest country in the western hemisphere, cults, slapstick gangsters… but damned if they don’t feel all sophisticated now, filing charges against our President and VP,” he said, referring to Republican presidential and vice presidential nominees Trump and Vance, respectively.

    “All these thugs better get their mind right and their ass out of our country before January 20th,” the post concluded. That would be the day Trump and Vance would be sworn into office if they win November’s election.

    Let’s see what we have here:

    1. Negative generalization about an entire nationality.
    2. Repeating the obvious lie about eating pets long after it was debunked
    3. Blaming Haitians for a shitty streaming sevice.
    4. Not knowing how to spell Vodou
    5. Racist stereotypes about Vodou
    6. Not Knowing the distinction between Voodoo and Vodou (presumably)
    7. Hating immigrants because the country they come from is “nasty”
    8. Thinks country is nasty, hates people for seeking sanctuary from it.
    9. Slapstick? What, were the three stooges Haitian?
    10. Thinks all black people are in gangs.
    11. Look at them thinking they’re real people, signing fancy paperwork like they can read.
    12. Thinks Trump is President.
    13. Thinks Vance is VP, when even the insane view that Trump won in 2020 would make Pence the VP.
    14. Disapproves of any accountability for Trump (no surprise there)
    15. Thinks all black people are thugs.
    16. Those immigrants need to learn their place.
    17. Telling an entire ethnic group to leave the country before the next administration is in power, which sounds a hell of a lot like an ethnic cleansing threat.
    18. Complete disregard for that whole election thing that’s coming up (see 11 & 12)
    19. Thinks deleting a post will make it go away.
    20. Does all this, isn’t even the worst situation about Republican politicians posting racist shit online this week.
    21. Failed to stop Michael Myers, James Bond and the Puma Man.

  • I’m a bit skeptical about the idea of people staying home in large numbers specifically because it was supposedly safe. But I think you can get to about the same place through an enthusiasm gap.

    People who might have been moved by a better candidate and/or campaign but weren’t very motivated by Clinton stayed home. It’s possible that some might have been swayed if the race was neck and neck since it would have helped drive home the stakes.

    Unfortunately, a lot of people are politically disengaged, and a large portion of the population votes on vibes more than reason and policy.


  • I think there’s two main reasons this keeps coming up every time a poll shows that Harris has even a chance at winning:

    1. In 2016, Hillary Clinton was way ahead in the polls, only to lose. This was due to many factors, but one that gets a fair amount of blame is that a lot of people hated her and didn’t want to hold their nose and vote for her. Staying home was a lot easier when she was supposed to win by a wide margin.

    2. While a lot of people pushing third party candidates were never going to support Harris, there are also those who think that it’s ok to vote third party in states that aren’t seen as in play in order to “send a message” without risking a Trump win. But if the polls are off and that state is closer than expected, those votes could still cost the election.

    Historically, being ahead in the polls helps a candidate. The bandwagon effect is real, and can help drive up turnout and shift how people perceive an election or issue. That’s why partisan polls designed to skew the numbers have been around for so long.

    Either way, it doesn’t hurt to remind people that no matter what they expect the outcome to be, we need as many votes as we can get. Bigger margins can help fight off conspiracy theories and legal challenges, and more turnout in down-ballot races can make the difference between gridlock and real progress.





  • Makeitstop@lemmy.worldtopolitics @lemmy.world*Permanently Deleted*
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    9 days ago

    For Cruz, I didn’t see a newer poll yet when I checked before commenting, looks like that last one was posted today (or they’re lying for SEO). Although the survey ends on the same date, so the data itself isn’t actually newer.

    And most of the other polls go back into August, so while the poll showing Cruz behind could be an outlier, it could also be reflective of a change in the race. We just don’t have a lot of good data to work with here. The Morning Consult polls are the largest ones we have, and the only ones to come from the same firm with the same methodology, allowing an apples to apples comparison. That lends at least a little credibility to the idea that Cruz might be in trouble, and it’s definitely a close race either way, but I would definitely want more data backing it up before concluding that Cruz is actually losing.

    As for Scott, yeah, most polls have him up by 3 or 4, give or take. He’s not losing, but he’s definitely vulnerable. And with abortion being on the ballot in Florida this year, I know I’d be sweating a little if I were in his position.

    All I was getting at is that both candidates are potentially vulnerable, and either losing would prevent the Republicans from taking the senate as the article predicts.