Krik

I repeat: Live thrived under much harsher conditions in the past. It will not suddenly die out. I find your pessimism unfounded. I’m sure humankind will exist for at least another millennium.

Ocean acidification will not kill all algae. They existed for much longer than most other forms of live. They survived the +14 °C 300 million years ago, guess how acid the oceans were back then. Also about 300 million years ago oxygen levels in the atmosphere peaked at about 35 % indicating a very strong production by plants. The algae species from back then are still alive today!

Watch Sabine Hossenfelder’s videos about climate models on YouTube: https://youtu.be/4S9sDyooxf4

+3 °C just means that the average temperature on Earth increased by that on average. There are places where the increase is higher and there are places where the temperature dropped. And then there are other places where the weather will be more violent than it was in the past.
The melting of permafrost in Russia that keeps methane trapped will probably be a problem in the future but that’s still several decades or even a century away. The release of methane will not kill us. But it might kill a lot of species.

It’s not the temperature that’s the problem, it’s the rate of change. Flora and fauna can’t adapt that fast. 10 000 years would be enough time to adapt to +3 °C but it’ll happen within only a 150 years time span.

Humans on the other hand will just install an air con and be done with ‘adapting’. Some coastal areas will be flooded and some hot places on Earth will be too hot for humans but everywhere else will stay ‘ok’.

Live on Earth will survive. There were times when temperature and atmosphere conditions were way more extreme and even toxic for humans. But the dinosaurs thrived in that conditions!

Nope. That’s a common misconception about climate change. Humankind will not die out anytime soon. But a lot of places on this world will become inhospitable and the people that are currently living there will migrate.

Guess where they’ll want to migrate to when they have to?

Song says it appears that the world’s oceans are losing their ability to dissipate heat from the surface into the deep ocean.

But isn’t it obvious that there’s a limit how much heat the oceans can store? Actually it can only get rid of it by emitting it into the atmosphere/space.
Additionally the hotter the water gets the more energy it emits which should slow down the net energy absorption.
As those two effects are opposites of each other there should be an equilibrium temperature where they cancel each other out. Currently it seems the oceans are a bit away from that equilibrium. It should swing the other way in a few decades or so. The oceans are big that’s why it takes time for change to manifest.

For me it sounds like the journalist didn’t really understood, what Song researched or tried to make a click bait article.

Tell that to all the animals that only have one shot. There are quite a lot of them and usually they all lay thousands of eggs.

Probably the most well known of them is the salmon. Only about 5% of them survive the procreation after the salmon run (of those salmon species that actually do the run).

As was said before: The genes are already passed onto the next generation. It doesn’t matter if the parents become stupid now. There’s no evolutionary advantage to become more or less stupid at this point.

It became like it is now by some random chance(s).

100 days for that?

IMO it depends on how much action is displayed in the movie. If there are a lot of dynamic scenes like car chases you’ll need a high rate while ‘simple’ dialog scenes can get away with way less.

That also means it depends on what movies you like to watch.

I have a really hard time distinguishing between a good 4K webrip (15-20 Mbps) and remux (40-80 Mbps), so I have no issue keeping the majority of my library encoded at ~18Mbps

That’s because Netflix and the other common services usually only stream at 6-15 Mbps. You’ll have to resort to Bravia Core or blu-ray discs to get anything in the 80 Mbps range.

Is SSD really necessary? Everything I search up says SSDs have worse retention than HDD in cold storage. A couple TB of HDD is pretty cheap these days, and seems like a better cold storage option.

SSDs are by design less susceptible and more robust. No moving parts and able to work in much harsher conditions than hdds will ever be able to. The standard set by JEDEC requires every consumer ssd to have a 1 year data retention while powered off at 30 °C (I think). That’s the minimum it has to archieve but usually they are better than that. Do not buy the cheapest thumb drives because they contain the all the crap that wasn’t good enough to make ssds from it.
Btw you need to fire hdds up regularly too or the motor gets stuck. I think every 3-6 months was the recommendation.

Yes, so now I’m thinking a rotation cycle. About every 5 years replace the drives with new ones, copy over all data.

Don’t make it flat every 5 years. Let a software monitor the SMART values of the drives and send notifications if the values indicate an increased change of a dying disc/ssd.

Does this matter if I have a SATA->USB cable stored with it?

Those are the first that fail, followed by the usb controller chip in the tray. Keep it as simple as possible. Removable trays are probably the best way but I’m not sure how much wear they can take.

Do not buy 2.5" drives. This class will die out soon™. There were no new hdds introduced in years and ssds are often replaced by M.2 ones because of the faster connection.

Printing the photos won’t help much. After 20 or so years they are all discolored. You can’t prevent that.

I think SSDs might be the best storage medium for you. Consumer-grade ssds have a 1 year data retention when powered off. That means at least once per year you have to turn it on and copy the data around one time to refresh the cells. This way it’ll probably last several 100 years.

You can’t exactly make it fool-proof. Outside people will never know what you did to create your backup and what to do to access it. Who knows if the drives file system or file types are still readable after 20 years? Who knows if SATA and USB connectors are still around after that time?
For example it is very likely that SATA will disappear within the next 10-15 years as hdds are becoming more and more an enterprise thing and consumers are switching to M.2 ssds.

Btrfs and zfs are self-healing.

You can make a script to check for errors and autocorrection yourself but that needs at least a second hdd. On both drives are the same data and a file or database with the checksums of the data. The script then compares the actual checksums of the two copies and the db checksum. If they match -> perfect. If they don’t match the file where there are two matching checksum is the good one and replaces the faulty one or corrects the db entry, whichever is defect. That’s it. It doesn’t have to be more complicated.

Any file systems Windows can read out-of-the-box are no good file systems. What Windows read? FAT and NTFS. Former is so basic it has no mechanisms to detect errors and bitrot and the later one is a mess.
You should stick to ext4, btrfs and zfs.

If you want to make if fool-proof then add a sticker with ‘bring me to a computer shop to access my content’.

This will do nothing at all. Drives don’t die by rust. They usually die because the motor somehow can’t get the discs to spin. Very often dry lube is the reason. That can occur if you leave the drive off too long.

For local backups it depends on what you want to have:

• The cheapest option is a usb or thumb drive. But you have to regularly plug it in and copy your backup on it.
• The lazy option is to buy a NAS and configure a backup job that regularly creates a backup. Versioned, incremental, differentials and full backups are possible as is WORM to add a bit of extra security. You can configure a NAS to only turn on specified times, do a backup and then turn off again. This will increase protection against encrypting malware. WORM also helps in this case.
  Or just let it run 24/7, create backups every hour and install extra services on it like AI powered image analysis to identify people and objects and let it automatically tag your photos. Cool stuff! Check out QNAP and Synology or build a NAS yourself.
  A NAS can also be configured to present its content in a LAN by itself. Any computer will automatically connect to it if the access isn’t secured by user/password or certificate.

I recommend buying a NAS.

What about OpenMediaVault?
Yes it focuses to be more of a NAS ‘operating system’ but the file sharing stuff is easy to set up. Any client can connect via nfs, smb or web to access any files.

all i remember from my ksp days is add more struts boosters

Fixed it for you.

Never head of Cerebras. shrug

The world buys Nvidia. 98% of datacenter GPUs are made by Nvidia.
Source: https://www.hpcwire.com/2024/06/10/nvidia-shipped-3-76-million-data-center-gpus-in-2023-according-to-study/

I see no reason for that to change. Everybody is using them, knows how to use them and pretty much every AI software in existence runs on them.